The Venezuela Situation

As you may be aware from news headlines, recent activities in Venezuela have impacted the global community. Regional events which have a global impact often leave many with uncertainty for the future and moreover, their livelihood. This article focuses on an initial assessment from ESOC in many of the factors we consider and analyze to enhance our client’s safety and improve decision-making.

Background

On January 5, 2026, U.S. forces conducted an operation in Caracas, Venezuela leading to the apprehension of Venezuela’s president, Nicolás Maduro, and his wife Cilia Flores. Following the raid, Delcy Rodriguez was sworn in as acting President of Venezuela. The United States has indicated that it plans to oversee and assist as the transition occurs.

Impacts

Travel and Site Security: The U.S. Department of State has had a “Do Not Travel” advisory in place for Venezuela since December 3, 2025. Furthermore, the U.S. embassy in Caracas has suspended operations and evacuated all embassy personnel, meaning that U.S. citizens will be unable to seek support from the U.S. embassy in Venezuela. The airspaces and maritime spaces in proximity to Venezuela will likely see increased activity from state and non-state armed forces, which should be considered when planning travels.

Operational Continuity: Venezuela will likely continue to experience shortages of gasoline, electricity, water, medicine, and medical supplies. Ongoing activities in the region also pose risks to supply chain disruptions, as well as possible disruptions to Venezuela’s oil activities. The shortages will impact response to emergency operations, such as medical support, and travel to the region will require a well implemented medical evacuation plan.

Targeting and Perception Risks: Executives, especially U.S. based executives, face increased risks not only in Venezuela, but also in the bordering regions. Due to the potential increase of activities between regional forces, criminal organizations, and the degrading economic stability of Venezuela, executives could be targeted for opportunistic crimes or political bargaining. If travel to the region or surrounding regions is required, a well-established professional security detail with operations center support is ideal. However, travel to or around the region should be reconsidered.

Ongoing Monitoring

Political stabilization and institutional restructuring often span multiple years. Throughout 2025, intermittent unrest, administration contentions, and tension for organizations to take public positions are possible. Clashes between government entities and criminal organizations, protest activity, election developments, and foreign partnership developments are just a few of the key areas of monitoring which should be considered. If a regional connection exists, it’s in every company’s best interest to assess operational risk and make informed decisions for personnel and assets.